Preview · Saturday, May 1, 12:00 PM
COSC vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
16%
15%
69%
COSC windrawBay Area Surf win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.5 home, 3.1 away)
| Season so far | COSC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-8 | 5-1-1 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.29 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 3.1 |
| Goals against / game | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W L L | W W W L D |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Force | 5–1 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 2–6 vs San Juan SC | 0–7 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.77 | +0.98 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.02 | +0.17 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 0–3 (away for COSC)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — COSC 0–1; Bay Area Surf 3–2. Stanislaus Surf — COSC 0–1; Bay Area Surf 4–0. Marin FC — COSC 1–2; Bay Area Surf 5–1. Davis Legacy — COSC 1–4; Bay Area Surf 5–1. San Juan SC — COSC 2–6; Bay Area Surf 0–7.
What's at stake
| COSC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 10th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 89% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 1% |
| Average finish | 9.6 | 3.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
9 favour COSC, 38 favour Bay Area Surf, 2 even; average margin -2.4 goals toward COSC.
- -3COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -2COSC lost to Santa Rosa United 0–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 2–3
- +3COSC lost to San Juan SC 2–6 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 7–0
- -5COSC lost to Marin FC 1–2 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
- -5COSC lost to Stanislaus Surf 0–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–4
- -7COSC lost to Davis Legacy 1–4 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
Full picture: COSC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU14 standings