Preview · Saturday, Apr 24, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Davis Legacy
Forecast
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.5 home, 1.4 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Davis Legacy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 2-0-7 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Marin FC | 3–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 1–5 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.98 | -0.64 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | +0.02 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 5–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Davis Legacy 2–3. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–2; Davis Legacy 1–2. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Davis Legacy 1–3. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–0; Davis Legacy 1–2. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Davis Legacy 4–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Davis Legacy | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 9th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 89% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 9.0 |
How the results connect
44 chains
31 favour Bay Area Surf, 10 favour Davis Legacy, 3 even; average margin +1.7 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1
- 0Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC lost to Davis Legacy 1–4
- +2Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 3–1
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United beat Davis Legacy 2–1
- +5Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1
- +5Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 5–1 → Marin FC beat Davis Legacy 3–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Davis Legacy · Northern Cal GU14 standings