Preview · Saturday, Apr 17, TBD
Mustang SC vs Santa Rosa United
Forecast
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.7 home, 0.9 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-2-1 | 5-2-3 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.70 |
| Goals for / game | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L W W | W D W L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 4–0 vs Force |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Santa Rosa United | 0–4 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.27 | +0.34 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.05 | -0.03 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 0–1 (away for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 3–1; Santa Rosa United 2–1. Force — Mustang SC 3–0; Santa Rosa United 4–0. MVLA — Mustang SC 2–1; Santa Rosa United 1–2. Bay Area Surf — Mustang SC 2–2; Santa Rosa United 2–3. Marin FC — Mustang SC 4–0; Santa Rosa United 0–0. Placer United — Mustang SC 3–2; Santa Rosa United 1–1. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 4–3; Santa Rosa United 0–4. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 0–0; Santa Rosa United 3–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 5th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 12% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.5 | 5.2 |
How the results connect
66 chains
48 favour Mustang SC, 15 favour Santa Rosa United, 3 even; average margin +1.9 goals toward Mustang SC.
- -1Mustang SC lost to Santa Rosa United 0–1
- +1Mustang SC beat Placer United 3–2 → Placer United drew with Santa Rosa United 1–1
- +1Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2 → Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–2
- -1Mustang SC beat Force 3–0 → Force lost to Santa Rosa United 0–4
- +1Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 3–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Santa Rosa United 1–2
- +2Mustang SC beat MVLA 2–1 → MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 2–1
Full picture: Mustang SC · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU14 standings