Preview · Sunday, Mar 21, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Marin FC
Forecast
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.6 home, 1.4 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 4-2-4 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | L D D W W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Marin FC | 5–1 at Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 0–7 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.98 | -0.80 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | +0.11 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 5–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–2; Marin FC 0–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Marin FC 0–4. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–7; Marin FC 0–7. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–0; Marin FC 1–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Marin FC 3–2. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Marin FC 2–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 7th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 89% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 7.5 |
How the results connect
48 chains
35 favour Bay Area Surf, 10 favour Marin FC, 3 even; average margin +2.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 5–1
- 0Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–7 → San Juan SC beat Marin FC 7–0
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United drew with Marin FC 0–0
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC lost to Marin FC 1–2
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Marin FC 2–3
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf drew with Marin FC 1–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Marin FC · Northern Cal GU14 standings