Preview · Saturday, Mar 20, TBD
Santa Rosa United vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 home, 1.7 away)
| Season so far | Santa Rosa United | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-3 | 5-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 2.29 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L W | W W W L D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Force | 5–1 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at San Juan SC | 0–7 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.34 | +0.98 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.03 | +0.17 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 2–3 (away for Santa Rosa United)
Common opponents: COSC — Santa Rosa United 1–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. San Juan SC — Santa Rosa United 0–4; Bay Area Surf 0–7. Davis Legacy — Santa Rosa United 2–1; Bay Area Surf 5–1. Mustang SC — Santa Rosa United 1–0; Bay Area Surf 2–2. Marin FC — Santa Rosa United 0–0; Bay Area Surf 5–1.
What's at stake
| Santa Rosa United | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 11% | 89% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 1% |
| Average finish | 5.2 | 3.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
14 favour Santa Rosa United, 34 favour Bay Area Surf, 1 even; average margin -1.1 goals toward Santa Rosa United.
- -1Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 2–3
- +1Santa Rosa United beat Mustang SC 1–0 → Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- -2Santa Rosa United beat COSC 1–0 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -3Santa Rosa United beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
- +3Santa Rosa United lost to San Juan SC 0–4 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 7–0
- -4Santa Rosa United drew with Marin FC 0–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
Full picture: Santa Rosa United · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU14 standings