Preview · Sunday, Nov 8, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Placer United
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 home, 1.7 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Placer United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 3-4-2 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 1.44 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | D W D L D |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Marin FC | 5–0 at Force |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 2–3 vs San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.98 | +0.36 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | -0.08 |
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–2; Placer United 1–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Placer United 2–3. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–7; Placer United 2–3. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–0; Placer United 1–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Placer United 1–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Placer United 2–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Placer United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 6th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 89% | 4% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 5.8 |
How the results connect
56 chains
37 favour Bay Area Surf, 14 favour Placer United, 5 even; average margin +1.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC beat Placer United 3–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United drew with Placer United 1–1
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC lost to Placer United 1–2
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Placer United 0–1
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf drew with Placer United 1–1
- -6Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–7 → San Juan SC beat Placer United 3–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Placer United · Northern Cal GU14 standings