Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 09:00 AM
San Juan SC 3–4 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 20% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 63% home, 17% draw, 20% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | San Juan SC | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 9-0-1 | 7-2-1 |
| Points per game | 2.70 | 2.30 |
| Goals for / game | 5.1 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W W | D W L W W |
| Biggest win | 9–1 vs Force | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 3–4 vs Mustang SC | 0–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.90 | +1.27 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.23 | -0.05 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 3–4 (home for San Juan SC)
Common opponents: Placer United — San Juan SC 3–2; Mustang SC 3–2. Pleasanton RAGE — San Juan SC 6–1; Mustang SC 0–0. Stanislaus Surf — San Juan SC 3–0; Mustang SC 6–0. Santa Rosa United — San Juan SC 4–0; Mustang SC 0–1. Bay Area Surf — San Juan SC 7–0; Mustang SC 2–2. Force — San Juan SC 9–1; Mustang SC 3–0. MVLA — San Juan SC 3–1; Mustang SC 2–1. Marin FC — San Juan SC 7–0; Mustang SC 4–0.
What's at stake
| San Juan SC | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 89% | 7% |
| Average finish | 1.1 | 2.5 |
How the results connect
67 chains
48 favour San Juan SC, 12 favour Mustang SC, 7 even; average margin +2.5 goals toward San Juan SC.
- -1San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 3–4
- 0San Juan SC beat Placer United 3–2 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- +1San Juan SC beat MVLA 3–1 → MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- +3San Juan SC beat Marin FC 7–0 → Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- -3San Juan SC beat Stanislaus Surf 3–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–6
- +5San Juan SC beat Force 9–1 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–3
Full picture: San Juan SC · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU14 standings