Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 01:00 PM
Santa Rosa United 1–0 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 27% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 27% home, 26% draw, 48% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Santa Rosa United | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-3 | 7-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 2.30 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L W | D W L W W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Force | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at San Juan SC | 0–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.34 | +1.27 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.03 | -0.05 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–0 (home for Santa Rosa United)
Common opponents: Placer United — Santa Rosa United 1–1; Mustang SC 3–2. Bay Area Surf — Santa Rosa United 2–3; Mustang SC 2–2. San Juan SC — Santa Rosa United 0–4; Mustang SC 4–3. Pleasanton RAGE — Santa Rosa United 3–0; Mustang SC 0–0. Davis Legacy — Santa Rosa United 2–1; Mustang SC 3–1. MVLA — Santa Rosa United 1–2; Mustang SC 2–1. Marin FC — Santa Rosa United 0–0; Mustang SC 4–0. Force — Santa Rosa United 4–0; Mustang SC 3–0.
What's at stake
| Santa Rosa United | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 11% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 6% |
| Average finish | 5.2 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
66 chains
15 favour Santa Rosa United, 48 favour Mustang SC, 3 even; average margin -1.9 goals toward Santa Rosa United.
- +1Santa Rosa United beat Mustang SC 1–0
- +1Santa Rosa United beat Force 4–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–3
- -1Santa Rosa United beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 1–3
- -1Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 2–3 → Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2
- -1Santa Rosa United drew with Placer United 1–1 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- -2Santa Rosa United lost to MVLA 1–2 → MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2
Full picture: Santa Rosa United · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU14 standings