Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 12:30 PM
Bay Area Surf 4–0 Stanislaus Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 79% chance. Pre-match odds were 79% home, 12% draw, 9% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Stanislaus Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 3-2-5 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 1.10 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | W W D L L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Marin FC | 3–0 at Force |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 0–6 at Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.98 | -0.89 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | -0.04 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 4–0 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Stanislaus Surf 1–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Stanislaus Surf 0–6. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–7; Stanislaus Surf 0–3. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Stanislaus Surf 2–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Stanislaus Surf 1–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Stanislaus Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 8th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 89% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 8.4 |
How the results connect
49 chains
38 favour Bay Area Surf, 7 favour Stanislaus Surf, 4 even; average margin +2.5 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC lost to Stanislaus Surf 0–1
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Stanislaus Surf 1–2
- -4Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–7 → San Juan SC beat Stanislaus Surf 3–0
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 5–1 → Marin FC drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1
- +6Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Stanislaus Surf · Northern Cal GU14 standings