Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 03:00 PM
Marin FC 0–4 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 74% chance. Pre-match odds were 11% home, 14% draw, 74% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Marin FC | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-4 | 7-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.30 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D D W W | D W L W W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Pleasanton RAGE | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 0–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.80 | +1.27 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.11 | -0.05 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 0–4 (home for Marin FC)
Common opponents: Force — Marin FC 1–0; Mustang SC 3–0. Bay Area Surf — Marin FC 1–5; Mustang SC 2–2. MVLA — Marin FC 1–4; Mustang SC 2–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Marin FC 5–1; Mustang SC 0–0. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 3–2; Mustang SC 3–1. Stanislaus Surf — Marin FC 1–1; Mustang SC 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Marin FC 0–0; Mustang SC 0–1. San Juan SC — Marin FC 0–7; Mustang SC 4–3.
What's at stake
| Marin FC | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 7% |
| Average finish | 7.5 | 2.5 |
How the results connect
67 chains
13 favour Marin FC, 50 favour Mustang SC, 4 even; average margin -2.4 goals toward Marin FC.
- -4Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- +1Marin FC drew with Santa Rosa United 0–0 → Santa Rosa United beat Mustang SC 1–0
- -1Marin FC beat Davis Legacy 3–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 1–3
- -2Marin FC beat Force 1–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–3
- +4Marin FC beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–1 → Pleasanton RAGE drew with Mustang SC 0–0
- -4Marin FC lost to MVLA 1–4 → MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2
Full picture: Marin FC · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU14 standings