Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 05:00 PM
Mustang SC 2–2 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 19% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 56% home, 19% draw, 25% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-2-1 | 5-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 2.29 |
| Goals for / game | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L W W | W W W L D |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 5–1 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Santa Rosa United | 0–7 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.27 | +0.98 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.05 | +0.17 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 2–2 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 3–1; Bay Area Surf 5–1. Marin FC — Mustang SC 4–0; Bay Area Surf 5–1. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 6–0; Bay Area Surf 4–0. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 0–1; Bay Area Surf 3–2. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 4–3; Bay Area Surf 0–7.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 3rd |
| Games left | 11 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 89% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 1% |
| Average finish | 2.5 | 3.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
20 favour Mustang SC, 20 favour Bay Area Surf, 9 even; average margin +0.1 goals toward Mustang SC.
- 0Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- 0Mustang SC beat Marin FC 4–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
- -2Mustang SC lost to Santa Rosa United 0–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 2–3
- +2Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–4
- -2Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 3–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
- +8Mustang SC beat San Juan SC 4–3 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 7–0
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU14 standings