Result · Sunday, Aug 30, TBD
Bay Area Surf 3–2 Santa Rosa United
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 50% chance. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 22% draw, 28% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 5-2-3 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 1.70 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | W D W L W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Marin FC | 4–0 vs Force |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 0–4 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.98 | +0.34 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | -0.03 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 3–2 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Santa Rosa United 0–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; Santa Rosa United 1–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–7; Santa Rosa United 0–4. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Santa Rosa United 2–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Santa Rosa United 1–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 5th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 90% | 11% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 5.2 |
How the results connect
49 chains
34 favour Bay Area Surf, 14 favour Santa Rosa United, 1 even; average margin +1.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–2
- -1Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC lost to Santa Rosa United 0–1
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC lost to Santa Rosa United 0–1
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Santa Rosa United 1–2
- -3Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–7 → San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 4–0
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 5–1 → Marin FC drew with Santa Rosa United 0–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU14 standings