TableChase Clubs

Result · Saturday, Aug 29, 11:00 AM

Marin FC 1–5 Bay Area Surf

Final

Marin FC
7th · 1.40 PPG · home
1–5
Bay Area Surf
3rd · 2.29 PPG · away

By today's ratings the model gave this result a 70% chance. Pre-match odds were 16% home, 15% draw, 70% away, most likely 1–3.

Season so farMarin FCBay Area Surf
Position7th3rd
Record (W-D-L)4-2-45-1-1
Points per game1.402.29
Goals for / game1.43.1
Goals against / game2.51.9
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)L D D W WW W W L D
Biggest win5–1 at Pleasanton RAGE5–1 at Marin FC
Worst loss0–7 at San Juan SC0–7 at San Juan SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.80+0.98
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.11+0.17

Already met this season: Aug 29 1–5 (home for Marin FC)

Common opponents: COSC — Marin FC 2–1; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Mustang SC — Marin FC 0–4; Bay Area Surf 2–2. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 3–2; Bay Area Surf 5–1. Stanislaus Surf — Marin FC 1–1; Bay Area Surf 4–0. Santa Rosa United — Marin FC 0–0; Bay Area Surf 3–2. San Juan SC — Marin FC 0–7; Bay Area Surf 0–7.

What's at stake

Marin FCBay Area Surf
Position now7th3rd
Games left1215
Chance of top 40%89%
Chance of 1st0%1%
Average finish7.53.6

How the results connect

48 chains

10 favour Marin FC, 35 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 even; average margin -2.1 goals toward Marin FC.

  • -4Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
  • 0Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 0–7 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 7–0
  • -1Marin FC drew with Santa Rosa United 0–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 2–3
  • -2Marin FC beat COSC 2–1 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
  • -3Marin FC beat Davis Legacy 3–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
  • -4Marin FC drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–4

Full picture: Marin FC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU14 standings