Preview · Saturday, May 8, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 home, 1.5 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-3 | 5-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 2.14 |
| Goals for / game | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE | 6–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Mustang SC | 0–4 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.87 | +0.88 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.26 | -0.10 |
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 6–1; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Davis Legacy — MVLA 0–0; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Mustang SC — MVLA 1–2; Bay Area Surf 1–2. Marin FC — MVLA 2–1; Bay Area Surf 3–1. COSC — MVLA 4–1; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 7–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. San Juan SC — MVLA 1–2; Bay Area Surf 0–4.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 3rd |
| Games left | 11 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 81% | 52% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 4.4 |
How the results connect
59 chains
32 favour MVLA, 20 favour Bay Area Surf, 7 even; average margin +1.2 goals toward MVLA.
- 0MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1
- -1MVLA beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -1MVLA drew with Davis Legacy 0–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- +2MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 6–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +3MVLA lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 4–0
- -3MVLA beat COSC 4–1 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU13 standings