Preview · Saturday, Apr 24, TBD
Mustang SC vs San Juan SC
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.0 home, 1.8 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | San Juan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-1 | 8-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 2.78 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 4.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 8–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Marin FC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.06 | +2.68 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | -0.48 |
Common opponents: Force — Mustang SC 4–1; San Juan SC 5–0. MVLA — Mustang SC 2–1; San Juan SC 2–1. Bay Area Surf — Mustang SC 2–1; San Juan SC 4–0. Marin FC — Mustang SC 1–2; San Juan SC 2–0. Placer United — Mustang SC 1–0; San Juan SC 2–2. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 4–0; San Juan SC 5–0. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 1–0; San Juan SC 8–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 1–0; San Juan SC 5–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | San Juan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 1st |
| Games left | 12 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 14% | 85% |
| Average finish | 2.3 | 1.2 |
How the results connect
65 chains
16 favour Mustang SC, 44 favour San Juan SC, 5 even; average margin -2.0 goals toward Mustang SC.
- 0Mustang SC beat MVLA 2–1 → MVLA lost to San Juan SC 1–2
- -1Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–5
- +1Mustang SC beat Placer United 1–0 → Placer United drew with San Juan SC 2–2
- -2Mustang SC beat Force 4–1 → Force lost to San Juan SC 0–5
- -3Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 1–2 → Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 0–2
- -3Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1 → Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–4
Full picture: Mustang SC · San Juan SC · Northern Cal GU13 standings