Preview · Saturday, Apr 17, TBD
Mustang SC vs Santa Rosa United
Forecast
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.0 home, 0.7 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-1 | 3-0-7 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 0.90 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W L L L L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 4–0 vs Force |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Marin FC | 0–8 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.06 | -1.11 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | +0.31 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–0 (away for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–1; Santa Rosa United 0–2. Force — Mustang SC 4–1; Santa Rosa United 4–0. MVLA — Mustang SC 2–1; Santa Rosa United 0–7. Bay Area Surf — Mustang SC 2–1; Santa Rosa United 0–2. Marin FC — Mustang SC 1–2; Santa Rosa United 1–2. Placer United — Mustang SC 1–0; Santa Rosa United 0–4. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 1–0; Santa Rosa United 5–2.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 8th |
| Games left | 12 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 14% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.3 | 8.4 |
How the results connect
57 chains
41 favour Mustang SC, 10 favour Santa Rosa United, 6 even; average margin +3.2 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +1Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 1–0
- 0Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 1–2 → Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 2–1
- -1Mustang SC beat Force 4–1 → Force lost to Santa Rosa United 0–4
- -2Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 1–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Santa Rosa United 2–5
- +3Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1 → Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0
- +5Mustang SC beat Placer United 1–0 → Placer United beat Santa Rosa United 4–0
Full picture: Mustang SC · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU13 standings