Preview · Sunday, Mar 21, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Marin FC
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 home, 1.1 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 4-2-4 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | L W W L D |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs COSC | 4–0 at Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at San Juan SC | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.88 | +0.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | -0.02 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 3–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Marin FC 2–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; Marin FC 2–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–4; Marin FC 0–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Marin FC 4–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Marin FC 0–2. COSC — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Marin FC 2–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 7th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 52% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.4 | 6.9 |
How the results connect
45 chains
26 favour Bay Area Surf, 14 favour Marin FC, 5 even; average margin +1.0 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 3–1
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 3–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Marin FC 0–4
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Marin FC 1–2
- -2Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–4 → San Juan SC beat Marin FC 2–0
- -2Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 1–2
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy beat Marin FC 2–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Marin FC · Northern Cal GU13 standings