Preview · Sunday, Nov 8, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Placer United
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Placer United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 5-2-2 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 1.89 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | W D W L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs COSC | 5–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at San Juan SC | 0–1 at Davis Legacy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.88 | +0.74 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | -0.19 |
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Placer United 4–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; Placer United 0–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–4; Placer United 2–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Placer United 1–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Placer United 0–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Placer United 2–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Placer United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 6th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 56% | 24% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.3 | 5.2 |
How the results connect
53 chains
24 favour Bay Area Surf, 17 favour Placer United, 12 even; average margin +0.2 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC beat Placer United 1–0
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy beat Placer United 1–0
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 3–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Placer United 0–1
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Placer United 0–4
- -4Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–4 → San Juan SC drew with Placer United 2–2
- +6Bay Area Surf beat COSC 6–0 → COSC drew with Placer United 2–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Placer United · Northern Cal GU13 standings