Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 10:00 AM
Davis Legacy 1–2 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 31% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 44% home, 25% draw, 31% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Davis Legacy | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-2 | 5-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.11 | 2.14 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W W | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs COSC | 6–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs Mustang SC | 0–4 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.85 | +0.88 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | -0.10 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 1–2 (home for Davis Legacy)
Common opponents: Mustang SC — Davis Legacy 1–4; Bay Area Surf 1–2. COSC — Davis Legacy 6–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Davis Legacy 2–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Marin FC — Davis Legacy 2–0; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Stanislaus Surf — Davis Legacy 2–1; Bay Area Surf 3–0.
What's at stake
| Davis Legacy | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 3rd |
| Games left | 13 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 44% | 52% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.6 | 4.4 |
How the results connect
43 chains
20 favour Davis Legacy, 18 favour Bay Area Surf, 5 even; average margin +0.3 goals toward Davis Legacy.
- -1Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- 0Davis Legacy beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- 0Davis Legacy beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- 0Davis Legacy beat COSC 6–0 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- -2Davis Legacy beat Stanislaus Surf 2–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -2Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 1–4 → Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1
Full picture: Davis Legacy · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU13 standings