Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 11:00 AM
Santa Rosa United 0–1 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 77% chance. Pre-match odds were 9% home, 14% draw, 77% away, most likely 0–2.
| Season so far | Santa Rosa United | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-7 | 8-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 6 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L L | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Force | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–8 at San Juan SC | 1–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.11 | +1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.31 | -0.27 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 0–1 (home for Santa Rosa United)
Common opponents: Placer United — Santa Rosa United 0–4; Mustang SC 1–0. Bay Area Surf — Santa Rosa United 0–2; Mustang SC 2–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Santa Rosa United 5–2; Mustang SC 1–0. Davis Legacy — Santa Rosa United 0–2; Mustang SC 4–1. MVLA — Santa Rosa United 0–7; Mustang SC 2–1. Marin FC — Santa Rosa United 1–2; Mustang SC 1–2. Force — Santa Rosa United 4–0; Mustang SC 4–1.
What's at stake
| Santa Rosa United | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 8th | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 14% |
| Average finish | 8.4 | 2.3 |
How the results connect
57 chains
10 favour Santa Rosa United, 41 favour Mustang SC, 6 even; average margin -3.2 goals toward Santa Rosa United.
- -1Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- 0Santa Rosa United lost to Marin FC 1–2 → Marin FC beat Mustang SC 2–1
- +1Santa Rosa United beat Force 4–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 1–4
- +2Santa Rosa United beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–2 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- -3Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2 → Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- -5Santa Rosa United lost to Davis Legacy 0–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 1–4
Full picture: Santa Rosa United · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU13 standings