Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 10:00 AM
Placer United 0–1 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 38% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 33% home, 29% draw, 38% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Placer United | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-2 | 8-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Davis Legacy | 1–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.74 | +1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.19 | -0.27 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 0–1 (home for Placer United)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Placer United 4–0; Mustang SC 1–0. Force — Placer United 1–0; Mustang SC 4–1. Davis Legacy — Placer United 0–1; Mustang SC 4–1. Stanislaus Surf — Placer United 1–0; Mustang SC 4–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Placer United 5–0; Mustang SC 1–0. MVLA — Placer United 2–1; Mustang SC 2–1.
What's at stake
| Placer United | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 2nd |
| Games left | 13 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 25% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 14% |
| Average finish | 5.2 | 2.3 |
How the results connect
54 chains
23 favour Placer United, 28 favour Mustang SC, 3 even; average margin -0.1 goals toward Placer United.
- -1Placer United lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- 0Placer United beat MVLA 2–1 → MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- -2Placer United beat Force 1–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 1–4
- -3Placer United beat Stanislaus Surf 1–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- +3Placer United beat Santa Rosa United 4–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- +4Placer United beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–1
Full picture: Placer United · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU13 standings