Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 11:45 AM
Marin FC 2–1 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 21% home, 26% draw, 53% away, most likely 0–1.
| Season so far | Marin FC | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-4 | 8-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W L D | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Stanislaus Surf | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf | 1–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.07 | +1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.02 | -0.27 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 2–1 (home for Marin FC)
Common opponents: Force — Marin FC 1–1; Mustang SC 4–1. Bay Area Surf — Marin FC 1–3; Mustang SC 2–1. MVLA — Marin FC 1–2; Mustang SC 2–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Marin FC 1–1; Mustang SC 1–0. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 0–2; Mustang SC 4–1. Stanislaus Surf — Marin FC 4–0; Mustang SC 4–0. Santa Rosa United — Marin FC 2–1; Mustang SC 1–0.
What's at stake
| Marin FC | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 13% |
| Average finish | 6.9 | 2.2 |
How the results connect
58 chains
13 favour Marin FC, 36 favour Mustang SC, 9 even; average margin -1.7 goals toward Marin FC.
- +1Marin FC beat Mustang SC 2–1
- 0Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 2–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- 0Marin FC beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- -1Marin FC drew with Pleasanton RAGE 1–1 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- -2Marin FC lost to MVLA 1–2 → MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- -3Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3 → Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–2
Full picture: Marin FC · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU13 standings