Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 07:00 PM
Mustang SC 2–1 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 49% chance. Pre-match odds were 49% home, 24% draw, 26% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-1 | 5-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 2.14 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 6–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Marin FC | 0–4 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.06 | +0.88 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | -0.10 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 2–1 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–1; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Marin FC — Mustang SC 1–2; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 4–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 1–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 98% | 52% |
| Chance of 1st | 13% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.2 | 4.4 |
How the results connect
43 chains
19 favour Mustang SC, 20 favour Bay Area Surf, 4 even; average margin -0.2 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +1Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1
- -1Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 1–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +1Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +2Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 4–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- -3Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 1–2 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- 0Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 1–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to San Juan SC 0–5 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 4–0
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU13 standings