Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 10:40 AM
MVLA 2–1 Marin FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 73% chance. Pre-match odds were 73% home, 16% draw, 11% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | MVLA | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-3 | 4-2-4 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | L W W L D |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE | 4–0 at Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Mustang SC | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.87 | +0.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.26 | -0.02 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 2–1 (home for MVLA)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 6–1; Marin FC 4–0. Davis Legacy — MVLA 0–0; Marin FC 0–2. Mustang SC — MVLA 1–2; Marin FC 2–1. Force — MVLA 6–1; Marin FC 1–1. COSC — MVLA 4–1; Marin FC 2–0. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 7–0; Marin FC 2–1. San Juan SC — MVLA 1–2; Marin FC 0–2. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 8–0; Marin FC 1–1.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 7th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 80% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 6.9 |
How the results connect
65 chains
46 favour MVLA, 12 favour Marin FC, 7 even; average margin +2.4 goals toward MVLA.
- +1MVLA beat Marin FC 2–1
- +1MVLA lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC beat Marin FC 2–0
- +1MVLA beat COSC 4–1 → COSC lost to Marin FC 0–2
- +1MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 6–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Marin FC 0–4
- -2MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 1–2
- +2MVLA drew with Davis Legacy 0–0 → Davis Legacy beat Marin FC 2–0
Full picture: MVLA · Marin FC · Northern Cal GU13 standings