Result · Sunday, Aug 30, 03:00 PM
Mustang SC 2–1 MVLA
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 36% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 36% home, 24% draw, 40% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-1 | 6-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 1.90 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | L W L W W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 8–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Marin FC | 1–2 at Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.06 | +1.87 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | -0.26 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 2–1 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–1; MVLA 0–0. Force — Mustang SC 4–1; MVLA 6–1. Marin FC — Mustang SC 1–2; MVLA 2–1. Placer United — Mustang SC 1–0; MVLA 1–2. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 4–0; MVLA 6–1. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 1–0; MVLA 7–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 1–0; MVLA 8–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 5th |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 81% |
| Chance of 1st | 16% | 1% |
| Average finish | 2.2 | 3.5 |
How the results connect
60 chains
15 favour Mustang SC, 41 favour MVLA, 4 even; average margin -1.4 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +1Mustang SC beat MVLA 2–1
- -1Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 1–6
- +2Mustang SC beat Placer United 1–0 → Placer United beat MVLA 2–1
- -2Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 1–2 → Marin FC lost to MVLA 1–2
- -2Mustang SC beat Force 4–1 → Force lost to MVLA 1–6
- +3Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 4–1 → Davis Legacy drew with MVLA 0–0
Full picture: Mustang SC · MVLA · Northern Cal GU13 standings