Result · Sunday, Aug 30, TBD
Bay Area Surf 2–0 Santa Rosa United
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 82% chance. Pre-match odds were 82% home, 11% draw, 7% away, most likely 3–0.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 3-0-7 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 0.90 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | W L L L L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs COSC | 4–0 vs Force |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at San Juan SC | 0–8 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.88 | -1.11 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | +0.31 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 2–0 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; Santa Rosa United 1–2. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 1–2; Santa Rosa United 0–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–4; Santa Rosa United 0–8. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Santa Rosa United 0–2. COSC — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Santa Rosa United 1–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 8th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 52% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.4 | 8.4 |
How the results connect
46 chains
29 favour Bay Area Surf, 13 favour Santa Rosa United, 4 even; average margin +2.6 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0
- 0Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 1–0
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy beat Santa Rosa United 2–0
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 3–1 → Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 2–1
- +4Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–4 → San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 8–0
- +5Bay Area Surf beat COSC 6–0 → COSC lost to Santa Rosa United 0–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU13 standings