Result · Saturday, Aug 29, 11:00 AM
Marin FC 1–3 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 48% chance. Pre-match odds were 28% home, 24% draw, 48% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Marin FC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-4 | 5-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.14 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W L D | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Stanislaus Surf | 6–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf | 0–4 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.07 | +0.88 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.02 | -0.10 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 1–3 (home for Marin FC)
Common opponents: COSC — Marin FC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Mustang SC — Marin FC 2–1; Bay Area Surf 1–2. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 0–2; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Stanislaus Surf — Marin FC 4–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Santa Rosa United — Marin FC 2–1; Bay Area Surf 2–0. San Juan SC — Marin FC 0–2; Bay Area Surf 0–4.
What's at stake
| Marin FC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 55% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.9 | 4.3 |
How the results connect
45 chains
14 favour Marin FC, 26 favour Bay Area Surf, 5 even; average margin -1.0 goals toward Marin FC.
- -2Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -1Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 2–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +1Marin FC beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +2Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 0–2 → San Juan SC beat Bay Area Surf 4–0
- +2Marin FC beat Mustang SC 2–1 → Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 2–1
- -3Marin FC lost to Davis Legacy 0–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
Full picture: Marin FC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU13 standings