Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1 South Carolina Surf
NCINO Sports Park · Field 7 ↗ · 28401
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 75% home, 15% draw, 11% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Wilmington Hammerheads | South Carolina Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-2-0 | 0-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 0.25 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | D W D | D L L L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Fairfax Virginia Union | — |
| Worst loss | — | 1–5 at VDA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.61 | -0.89 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.00 | +0.81 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–1 (home for Wilmington Hammerheads)
Common opponents: Arlington Soccer Association — Wilmington Hammerheads 3–3; South Carolina Surf 0–2.
What's at stake
| Wilmington Hammerheads | South Carolina Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 10th |
| Games left | 7 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 37% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.0 | 8.6 |
How the results connect
3 chains
2 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 0 favour South Carolina Surf, 1 even; average margin +1.7 goals toward Wilmington Hammerheads.
- 0Wilmington Hammerheads drew with South Carolina Surf 1–1
- +2Wilmington Hammerheads drew with Arlington Soccer Association 3–3 → Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 2–0
- +3Wilmington Hammerheads drew with Arlington Soccer Association 3–3 → Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 0–1 → VDA beat South Carolina Surf 5–1
Full picture: Wilmington Hammerheads · South Carolina Surf · Mid-Atlantic GU18/19 standings