Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 12:00 PM
NCFC Youth 4–4 NC Fusion
WRAL · Field 5 ↗ · 27616
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 16% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 65% home, 16% draw, 19% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | NCFC Youth | NC Fusion |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 0-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 6.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L L D | L L D |
| Biggest win | 2–0 at Fairfax Virginia Union | — |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at NCFC Youth NC Courage | 0–9 at Richmond United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.55 | -2.05 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.40 | +1.00 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 4–4 (home for NCFC Youth)
Common opponents: Richmond United — NCFC Youth 0–1; NC Fusion 0–9.
What's at stake
| NCFC Youth | NC Fusion | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 9th |
| Games left | 5 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 8.2 | 9.3 |
How the results connect
4 chains
2 favour NCFC Youth, 1 favour NC Fusion, 1 even; average margin +2.5 goals toward NCFC Youth.
- 0NCFC Youth drew with NC Fusion 4–4
- +8NCFC Youth lost to Richmond United 0–1 → Richmond United beat NC Fusion 9–0
- -3NCFC Youth lost to Beach FC 0–2 → Beach FC lost to VDA 0–7 → VDA beat NC Fusion 6–0
- +5NCFC Youth lost to Beach FC 0–2 → Beach FC lost to Richmond United 0–2 → Richmond United beat NC Fusion 9–0
Full picture: NCFC Youth · NC Fusion · Mid-Atlantic GU18/19 standings