Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 03:00 PM
Fairfax Virginia Union 3–2 NCFC Youth NC Courage
James W Robinson HS · Upper Turf ↗ · turf · 22032
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 61% chance. Pre-match odds were 61% home, 18% draw, 21% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Fairfax Virginia Union | NCFC Youth NC Courage |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-0 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W | W W L D |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs NCFC Youth | 4–0 vs NCFC Youth |
| Worst loss | — | 2–3 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.15 | +0.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.93 | -0.46 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 3–2 (home for Fairfax Virginia Union)
Common opponents: NCFC Youth — Fairfax Virginia Union 7–0; NCFC Youth NC Courage 4–0.
What's at stake
| Fairfax Virginia Union | NCFC Youth NC Courage | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 6th |
| Games left | 7 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 87% | 29% |
| Chance of 1st | 19% | 1% |
| Average finish | 2.7 | 5.3 |
How the results connect
4 chains
3 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 1 favour NCFC Youth NC Courage; average margin +1.2 goals toward Fairfax Virginia Union.
- +1Fairfax Virginia Union beat NCFC Youth NC Courage 3–2
- +3Fairfax Virginia Union beat NCFC Youth 7–0 → NCFC Youth lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–4
- -3Fairfax Virginia Union beat Wilmington Hammerheads 1–0 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to Arlington Soccer Association 1–4 → Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–3
- +4Fairfax Virginia Union beat NCFC Youth 7–0 → NCFC Youth lost to Beach FC 0–3 → Beach FC drew with NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–2
Full picture: Fairfax Virginia Union · NCFC Youth NC Courage · Mid-Atlantic GU17 standings