Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 01:00 PM
Arlington Soccer Association 4–2 Wilmington Hammerheads
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #3 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 65% chance. Pre-match odds were 65% home, 20% draw, 15% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 1-2-2 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W D | W D L L D |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs Beach FC | 2–1 vs South Carolina Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs NCFC Youth NC Courage | 1–3 vs Charlotte SA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.64 | -0.40 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | -0.11 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 4–2 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: South Carolina Surf — Arlington Soccer Association 2–0; Wilmington Hammerheads 2–1.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 7th |
| Games left | 14 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 56% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.1 | 7.2 |
How the results connect
10 chains
7 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 2 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 1 even; average margin +2.1 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- +2Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 4–2
- +1Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 2–0 → South Carolina Surf lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 1–2
- 0Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 2–0 → South Carolina Surf lost to Charlotte SA 0–4 → Charlotte SA beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–1
- -1Arlington Soccer Association drew with VDA 0–0 → VDA lost to Charlotte SA 0–3 → Charlotte SA beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–1
- +2Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 1–0 → Richmond United lost to Charlotte SA 0–1 → Charlotte SA beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–1
- -2Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–2 → NCFC Youth NC Courage lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 1–2 → Fairfax Virginia Union drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · Wilmington Hammerheads · Mid-Atlantic GU14 standings