Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 11:00 AM
Arlington Soccer Association 3–2 Wilmington Hammerheads
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #3 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 78% chance. Pre-match odds were 78% home, 12% draw, 9% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 1-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 0.60 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W W L | W L L L L |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Beach FC | 2–0 vs South Carolina Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at VDA | 0–4 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.76 | -0.92 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.32 | +0.13 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 3–2 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: South Carolina Surf — Arlington Soccer Association 3–1; Wilmington Hammerheads 2–0.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 8th |
| Games left | 14 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 33% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 8.8 |
How the results connect
10 chains
7 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 2 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 1 even; average margin +2.1 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- +1Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–2
- 0Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 3–1 → South Carolina Surf lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 0–2
- -1Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 1–2 → VDA beat South Carolina Surf 2–0 → South Carolina Surf lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 0–2
- +2Arlington Soccer Association lost to Richmond United 0–1 → Richmond United beat NCFC Youth 3–2 → NCFC Youth beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–1
- +2Arlington Soccer Association drew with NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–2 → NCFC Youth NC Courage drew with NCFC Youth 1–1 → NCFC Youth beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–1
- -2Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 3–1 → South Carolina Surf lost to Charlotte SA 0–7 → Charlotte SA beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–0
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · Wilmington Hammerheads · Mid-Atlantic GU13 standings