Result · Saturday, Sep 26, 09:00 AM
Arlington Soccer Association 3–1 South Carolina Surf
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #3 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 89% chance. Pre-match odds were 89% home, 7% draw, 4% away, most likely 3–0.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | South Carolina Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 0-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 3.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W W L | L L L L |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Beach FC | — |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at VDA | 0–7 vs Charlotte SA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.76 | -1.71 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.32 | +0.46 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 3–1 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: VDA — Arlington Soccer Association 1–2; South Carolina Surf 0–2. Wilmington Hammerheads — Arlington Soccer Association 3–2; South Carolina Surf 0–2.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | South Carolina Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 10th |
| Games left | 14 | 16 |
| Chance of top 4 | 33% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 10.2 |
How the results connect
7 chains
7 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 0 favour South Carolina Surf; average margin +4.6 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- +2Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 3–1
- +1Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 1–2 → VDA beat South Carolina Surf 2–0
- +3Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–2 → Wilmington Hammerheads beat South Carolina Surf 2–0
- +5Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–2 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to Charlotte SA 0–3 → Charlotte SA beat South Carolina Surf 7–0
- +7Arlington Soccer Association lost to Richmond United 0–1 → Richmond United beat Charlotte SA 2–1 → Charlotte SA beat South Carolina Surf 7–0
- +7Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 1–2 → VDA beat Charlotte SA 1–0 → Charlotte SA beat South Carolina Surf 7–0
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · South Carolina Surf · Mid-Atlantic GU13 standings