Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 02:00 PM
Atlanta Fire United 1–1 South Carolina Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 19% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 20% home, 19% draw, 61% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Atlanta Fire United | South Carolina Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-4-3 | 3-1-1 |
| Points per game | 0.88 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D L D L W | W D W W L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at CESA Triumph | 6–1 at South Carolina United |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at United Futbol Academy | 1–2 vs Concorde Fire Platinum |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.25 | +1.15 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.07 | -0.03 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–1 (home for Atlanta Fire United)
Common opponents: GSA — Atlanta Fire United 1–1; South Carolina Surf 4–1. NTH NASA — Atlanta Fire United 3–3; South Carolina Surf 3–1. South Carolina United — Atlanta Fire United 1–2; South Carolina Surf 6–1. Concorde Fire Platinum — Atlanta Fire United 1–3; South Carolina Surf 1–2.
What's at stake
| Atlanta Fire United | South Carolina Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 2nd |
| Games left | 8 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 14% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 7% |
| Average finish | 6.2 | 2.0 |
How the results connect
27 chains
1 favour Atlanta Fire United, 23 favour South Carolina Surf, 3 even; average margin -2.9 goals toward Atlanta Fire United.
- 0Atlanta Fire United drew with South Carolina Surf 1–1
- -1Atlanta Fire United lost to Concorde Fire Platinum 1–3 → Concorde Fire Platinum beat South Carolina Surf 2–1
- -2Atlanta Fire United drew with NTH NASA 3–3 → NTH NASA lost to South Carolina Surf 1–3
- -3Atlanta Fire United drew with GSA 1–1 → GSA lost to South Carolina Surf 1–4
- -6Atlanta Fire United lost to South Carolina United 1–2 → South Carolina United lost to South Carolina Surf 1–6
- 0Atlanta Fire United lost to South Carolina United 1–2 → South Carolina United drew with Concorde Fire Platinum 2–2 → Concorde Fire Platinum beat South Carolina Surf 2–1
Full picture: Atlanta Fire United · South Carolina Surf · Southeast BU18/19 standings