Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 02:00 PM
Santa Rosa United 0–1 Mustang Soccer
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 39% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 33% home, 29% draw, 39% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Santa Rosa United | Mustang Soccer |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-3 | 4-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W W | W W L D D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at 1974 Newark FC | 4–0 vs River Islands Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at San Francisco Elite Academy | 0–2 vs San Francisco Elite Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.49 | +0.57 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.23 | +0.03 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 0–1 (home for Santa Rosa United)
Common opponents: Association FC B08/09 — Santa Rosa United 3–0; Mustang Soccer 0–0. San Francisco Elite Academy — Santa Rosa United 1–3; Mustang Soccer 0–2. River Islands Surf — Santa Rosa United 3–1; Mustang Soccer 4–0.
What's at stake
| Santa Rosa United | Mustang Soccer | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 9 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 24% | 62% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 4% |
| Average finish | 6.4 | 4.3 |
How the results connect
21 chains
7 favour Santa Rosa United, 11 favour Mustang Soccer, 3 even; average margin -0.6 goals toward Santa Rosa United.
- -1Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang Soccer 0–1
- 0Santa Rosa United lost to San Francisco Elite Academy 1–3 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat Mustang Soccer 2–0
- -2Santa Rosa United beat River Islands Surf 3–1 → River Islands Surf lost to Mustang Soccer 0–4
- +3Santa Rosa United beat Association FC B08/09 3–0 → Association FC B08/09 drew with Mustang Soccer 0–0
- 0Santa Rosa United lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 2–4 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club drew with San Francisco Elite Academy 1–1 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat Mustang Soccer 2–0
- 0Santa Rosa United beat Napa United 3–1 → Napa United beat River Islands Surf 4–2 → River Islands Surf lost to Mustang Soccer 0–4
Full picture: Santa Rosa United · Mustang Soccer · Northern Cal BU18/19 standings