Result · Sunday, Sep 27, TBD
River Islands Surf 2–3 1974 Newark FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 20% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 61% home, 19% draw, 20% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | River Islands Surf | 1974 Newark FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-1 | 3-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W D | W L W W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Santa Rosa United | 2–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 2–3 vs 1974 Newark FC | 0–3 vs San Francisco Elite Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.56 | -0.27 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.37 | -0.04 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–3 (home for River Islands Surf)
Common opponents: San Francisco Elite Academy — River Islands Surf 3–3; 1974 Newark FC 0–3. Santa Rosa United — River Islands Surf 3–0; 1974 Newark FC 2–0. Napa United — River Islands Surf 3–0; 1974 Newark FC 4–3.
What's at stake
| River Islands Surf | 1974 Newark FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 5th |
| Games left | 9 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 37% | 5% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.7 | 9.9 |
How the results connect
15 chains
10 favour River Islands Surf, 4 favour 1974 Newark FC, 1 even; average margin +1.5 goals toward River Islands Surf.
- -1River Islands Surf lost to 1974 Newark FC 2–3
- +1River Islands Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to 1974 Newark FC 0–2
- +2River Islands Surf beat Napa United 3–0 → Napa United lost to 1974 Newark FC 3–4
- +3River Islands Surf drew with San Francisco Elite Academy 3–3 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat 1974 Newark FC 3–0
- 0River Islands Surf drew with Davis Legacy 2–2 → Davis Legacy beat Napa United 2–1 → Napa United lost to 1974 Newark FC 3–4
- +2River Islands Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to San Francisco Elite Academy 0–4 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat 1974 Newark FC 3–0
Full picture: River Islands Surf · 1974 Newark FC · Northern Cal BU17 standings