Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 11:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 3–1 Davis Legacy
Provident Field @ MSC · Upper ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 37% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 37% home, 22% draw, 41% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Davis Legacy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-3 | 2-3-1 |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L L W | W D D L W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Santa Rosa United | 4–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Association FC B09/10 | 1–3 at Mustang Soccer |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.12 | +0.44 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.14 | +0.24 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 3–1 (home for Mustang Soccer)
Common opponents: River Islands Surf — Mustang Soccer 0–1; Davis Legacy 2–2.
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Davis Legacy | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 13th | 9th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 1% | 20% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 11.0 | 6.9 |
How the results connect
22 chains
7 favour Mustang Soccer, 14 favour Davis Legacy, 1 even; average margin -1.7 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- +2Mustang Soccer beat Davis Legacy 3–1
- -1Mustang Soccer lost to River Islands Surf 0–1 → River Islands Surf drew with Davis Legacy 2–2
- 0Mustang Soccer drew with Marin FC 2–2 → Marin FC drew with El Camino FC Salinas 1–1 → El Camino FC Salinas drew with Davis Legacy 2–2
- +1Mustang Soccer lost to River Islands Surf 0–1 → River Islands Surf beat Napa United 3–0 → Napa United lost to Davis Legacy 1–2
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 5–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to River Islands Surf 0–3 → River Islands Surf drew with Davis Legacy 2–2
- -1Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 5–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Napa United 2–6 → Napa United lost to Davis Legacy 1–2
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Davis Legacy · Northern Cal BU17 standings