Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 09:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 2–1 Davis Legacy
Provident Field @ MSC · Upper ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 40% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 40% home, 25% draw, 36% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Davis Legacy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-3 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | L D W L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at Santa Rosa United | 2–0 at Napa United |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs Folsom Lake Surf | 1–2 at Mustang Soccer |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.19 | +0.23 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.10 | +0.04 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 2–1 (home for Mustang Soccer)
Common opponents: River Islands Surf — Mustang Soccer 1–3; Davis Legacy 2–1.
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Davis Legacy | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 8th | 7th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 5% | 12% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 7.8 | 6.8 |
How the results connect
22 chains
8 favour Mustang Soccer, 10 favour Davis Legacy, 4 even; average margin -0.7 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Davis Legacy 2–1
- -3Mustang Soccer lost to River Islands Surf 1–3 → River Islands Surf lost to Davis Legacy 1–2
- 0Mustang Soccer lost to San Francisco Elite Academy 1–2 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat Los Gatos United Soccer Club 3–1 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Davis Legacy 0–1
- 0Mustang Soccer lost to San Francisco Elite Academy 1–2 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat El Camino FC Salinas 1–0 → El Camino FC Salinas drew with Davis Legacy 1–1
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B10/11 1–0 → Association FC B10/11 lost to El Camino FC Salinas 1–2 → El Camino FC Salinas drew with Davis Legacy 1–1
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B10/11 1–0 → Association FC B10/11 lost to COSC 0–2 → COSC beat Davis Legacy 2–1
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Davis Legacy · Northern Cal BU16 standings