Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 10:00 AM
Santa Rosa United 1–2 Mustang Soccer
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 92% chance. Pre-match odds were 3% home, 5% draw, 92% away, most likely 0–4.
| Season so far | Santa Rosa United | Mustang Soccer |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-7 | 6-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.57 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | — | 5–1 vs Folsom Lake Surf |
| Worst loss | 1–6 vs Association FC B11/12 | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.36 | +1.01 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.16 | -0.41 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–2 (home for Santa Rosa United)
Common opponents: Association FC B11/12 — Santa Rosa United 1–6; Mustang Soccer 6–2. San Francisco Elite Academy — Santa Rosa United 1–5; Mustang Soccer 1–0. River Islands Surf — Santa Rosa United 1–4; Mustang Soccer 2–0.
What's at stake
| Santa Rosa United | Mustang Soccer | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 17th | 2nd |
| Games left | 9 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 95% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 30% |
| Average finish | 16.9 | 2.2 |
How the results connect
21 chains
0 favour Santa Rosa United, 20 favour Mustang Soccer, 1 even; average margin -5.5 goals toward Santa Rosa United.
- -1Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang Soccer 1–2
- -5Santa Rosa United lost to River Islands Surf 1–4 → River Islands Surf lost to Mustang Soccer 0–2
- -5Santa Rosa United lost to San Francisco Elite Academy 1–5 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to Mustang Soccer 0–1
- -9Santa Rosa United lost to Association FC B11/12 1–6 → Association FC B11/12 lost to Mustang Soccer 2–6
- 0Santa Rosa United lost to River Islands Surf 1–4 → River Islands Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–0 → Davis Legacy beat Mustang Soccer 2–1
- -2Santa Rosa United lost to 1974 Newark FC 1–3 → 1974 Newark FC beat San Francisco Elite Academy 1–0 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to Mustang Soccer 0–1
Full picture: Santa Rosa United · Mustang Soccer · Northern Cal BU15 standings