Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 12:00 PM
COSC 2–1 Folsom Lake Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 63% chance. Pre-match odds were 63% home, 18% draw, 19% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | COSC | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 15th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W W | L L D W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs MVLA | 4–1 at Los Gatos United Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Davis Legacy | 1–5 at Mustang Soccer |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.63 | -0.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.18 | +0.75 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–1 (home for COSC)
What's at stake
| COSC | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 15th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 85% | 2% |
| Chance of 1st | 14% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.1 | 11.1 |
How the results connect
19 chains
10 favour COSC, 8 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 1 even; average margin +0.4 goals toward COSC.
- +1COSC beat Folsom Lake Surf 2–1
- 0COSC lost to Davis Legacy 0–1 → Davis Legacy drew with Napa United 1–1 → Napa United beat Folsom Lake Surf 1–0
- +1COSC beat Association FC B11/12 3–2 → Association FC B11/12 lost to Mustang Soccer 2–6 → Mustang Soccer beat Folsom Lake Surf 5–1
- -1COSC lost to Davis Legacy 0–1 → Davis Legacy drew with El Camino FC Salinas 3–3 → El Camino FC Salinas drew with Folsom Lake Surf 2–2
- -1COSC beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC beat Los Gatos United Soccer Club 1–0 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–4
- -1COSC beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC lost to Santa Clara Sporting 1–4 → Santa Clara Sporting beat Folsom Lake Surf 3–2
Full picture: COSC · Folsom Lake Surf · Northern Cal BU15 standings