Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 01:00 PM
Mustang Soccer 1–2 Davis Legacy
Provident Field @ MSC · Lower ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 19% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 60% home, 21% draw, 19% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Davis Legacy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 2-3-1 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W D D W D |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs Folsom Lake Surf | 2–1 at Mustang Soccer |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy | 0–2 at River Islands Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.01 | +0.16 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.41 | +0.51 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 1–2 (home for Mustang Soccer)
Common opponents: River Islands Surf — Mustang Soccer 2–0; Davis Legacy 0–2.
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Davis Legacy | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 8th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 95% | 23% |
| Chance of 1st | 29% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.3 | 6.8 |
How the results connect
22 chains
15 favour Mustang Soccer, 6 favour Davis Legacy, 1 even; average margin +1.7 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- -1Mustang Soccer lost to Davis Legacy 1–2
- +4Mustang Soccer beat River Islands Surf 2–0 → River Islands Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–0
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 2–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to River Islands Surf 1–4 → River Islands Surf beat Davis Legacy 2–0
- +1Mustang Soccer beat San Francisco Elite Academy 1–0 → San Francisco Elite Academy drew with Napa United 0–0 → Napa United drew with Davis Legacy 1–1
- -1Mustang Soccer beat San Francisco Elite Academy 1–0 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 0–2 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club drew with Davis Legacy 1–1
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B11/12 6–2 → Association FC B11/12 lost to El Camino FC Salinas 0–3 → El Camino FC Salinas drew with Davis Legacy 3–3
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Davis Legacy · Northern Cal BU15 standings