Result · Sunday, Aug 30, 01:00 PM
Mustang Soccer 5–1 Folsom Lake Surf
Provident Field @ MSC · Lower ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 71% chance. Pre-match odds were 71% home, 16% draw, 13% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 15th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | L L D W L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs Folsom Lake Surf | 4–1 at Los Gatos United Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy | 1–5 at Mustang Soccer |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.01 | -0.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.41 | +0.75 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 5–1 (home for Mustang Soccer)
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 15th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 95% | 2% |
| Chance of 1st | 31% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.2 | 11.1 |
How the results connect
19 chains
9 favour Mustang Soccer, 8 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 2 even; average margin +0.2 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- +4Mustang Soccer beat Folsom Lake Surf 5–1
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B11/12 6–2 → Association FC B11/12 lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 1–2 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–4
- 0Mustang Soccer lost to Davis Legacy 1–2 → Davis Legacy drew with Napa United 1–1 → Napa United beat Folsom Lake Surf 1–0
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B11/12 6–2 → Association FC B11/12 lost to El Camino FC Salinas 0–3 → El Camino FC Salinas drew with Folsom Lake Surf 2–2
- -1Mustang Soccer lost to Davis Legacy 1–2 → Davis Legacy drew with El Camino FC Salinas 3–3 → El Camino FC Salinas drew with Folsom Lake Surf 2–2
- +1Mustang Soccer lost to Davis Legacy 1–2 → Davis Legacy beat COSC 1–0 → COSC beat Folsom Lake Surf 2–1
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Folsom Lake Surf · Northern Cal BU15 standings