Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 09:00 AM
Arizona Arsenal 3–1 Avalanche
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 34% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 34% home, 21% draw, 45% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Arizona Arsenal | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-3 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | W L W W W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs La Roca FC | 5–0 vs CCV STARS |
| Worst loss | 2–3 vs CCV STARS | 1–3 at Arizona Arsenal |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.52 | +0.99 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.16 | -0.31 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 1–2 (away for Arizona Arsenal); Oct 3 3–1 (home for Arizona Arsenal)
Common opponents: CCV STARS — Arizona Arsenal 2–3, 2–0; Avalanche 5–0, 2–0. La Roca FC — Arizona Arsenal 2–3, 4–0; Avalanche 4–1.
What's at stake
| Arizona Arsenal | Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 1st |
| Games left | 6 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 95% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 83% |
| Average finish | 2.8 | 1.2 |
How the results connect
20 chains
5 favour Arizona Arsenal, 13 favour Avalanche, 2 even; average margin -1.7 goals toward Arizona Arsenal.
- -1Arizona Arsenal lost to Avalanche 1–2
- +2Arizona Arsenal beat Avalanche 3–1
- 0Arizona Arsenal beat CCV STARS 2–0 → CCV STARS lost to Avalanche 0–2
- +1Arizona Arsenal beat La Roca FC 4–0 → La Roca FC lost to Avalanche 1–4
- -3Arizona Arsenal beat CCV STARS 2–0 → CCV STARS lost to Avalanche 0–5
- -3Arizona Arsenal lost to CCV STARS 2–3 → CCV STARS lost to Avalanche 0–2
Full picture: Arizona Arsenal · Avalanche · Mountain BU15 standings