Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 11:15 AM
La Roca FC 3–2 Arizona Arsenal
La Roca Park · Field 1 ↗ · 84405
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 27% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 27% home, 20% draw, 53% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | La Roca FC | Arizona Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 3-0-3 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W W L | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs CCV STARS | 4–0 vs La Roca FC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at Arizona Arsenal | 2–3 vs CCV STARS |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.37 | +0.52 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.04 | -0.16 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 3–2 (home for La Roca FC); Oct 4 0–4 (away for La Roca FC)
Common opponents: Avalanche — La Roca FC 1–4; Arizona Arsenal 1–2, 3–1. CCV STARS — La Roca FC 3–0, 1–1; Arizona Arsenal 2–3, 2–0.
What's at stake
| La Roca FC | Arizona Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 7 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 65% | 95% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 3% |
| Average finish | 4.0 | 2.8 |
How the results connect
20 chains
6 favour La Roca FC, 12 favour Arizona Arsenal, 2 even; average margin -1.3 goals toward La Roca FC.
- +1La Roca FC beat Arizona Arsenal 3–2
- -4La Roca FC lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–4
- +1La Roca FC drew with CCV STARS 1–1 → CCV STARS beat Arizona Arsenal 3–2
- +1La Roca FC beat CCV STARS 3–0 → CCV STARS lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–2
- -2La Roca FC drew with CCV STARS 1–1 → CCV STARS lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–2
- -2La Roca FC lost to Avalanche 1–4 → Avalanche beat Arizona Arsenal 2–1
Full picture: La Roca FC · Arizona Arsenal · Mountain BU15 standings