Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 01:15 PM
La Roca FC 2–5 Arizona Arsenal
La Roca Park · Field 2 ↗ · 84405
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 29% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 21% draw, 29% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | La Roca FC | Arizona Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-3 | 2-2-2 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 1.33 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W W | L L D W D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Arizona Arsenal | 5–2 at La Roca FC |
| Worst loss | 2–5 vs Arizona Arsenal | 0–4 vs La Roca FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.18 | -0.11 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.01 | +0.04 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–5 (home for La Roca FC); Oct 4 4–0 (away for La Roca FC)
Common opponents: Avalanche — La Roca FC 2–1; Arizona Arsenal 0–0, 1–1. CCV STARS — La Roca FC 2–1, 2–3; Arizona Arsenal 2–1, 0–1.
What's at stake
| La Roca FC | Arizona Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 4th |
| Games left | 7 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 92% | 56% |
| Chance of 1st | 18% | 2% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 4.2 |
How the results connect
20 chains
10 favour La Roca FC, 6 favour Arizona Arsenal, 4 even; average margin +0.6 goals toward La Roca FC.
- -3La Roca FC lost to Arizona Arsenal 2–5
- +4La Roca FC beat Arizona Arsenal 4–0
- 0La Roca FC lost to CCV STARS 2–3 → CCV STARS beat Arizona Arsenal 1–0
- 0La Roca FC beat CCV STARS 2–1 → CCV STARS lost to Arizona Arsenal 1–2
- +1La Roca FC beat Avalanche 2–1 → Avalanche drew with Arizona Arsenal 0–0
- +1La Roca FC beat Avalanche 2–1 → Avalanche drew with Arizona Arsenal 1–1
Full picture: La Roca FC · Arizona Arsenal · Mountain BU14 standings