Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 11:15 AM
La Roca FC 2–3 Arizona Arsenal
La Roca Park · Field 2 ↗ · 84405
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 29% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 21% draw, 29% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | La Roca FC | Arizona Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 4-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W W | W L W W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs CCV STARS | 6–1 vs CCV STARS |
| Worst loss | 2–3 vs Arizona Arsenal | 3–5 at Avalanche |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.85 | +0.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | -0.21 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–3 (home for La Roca FC); Oct 4 2–0 (away for La Roca FC)
Common opponents: Avalanche — La Roca FC 2–0; Arizona Arsenal 3–5, 2–0. CCV STARS — La Roca FC 5–0, 2–2; Arizona Arsenal 6–1, 3–0.
What's at stake
| La Roca FC | Arizona Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 1st |
| Games left | 7 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 37% | 46% |
| Average finish | 1.9 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
20 chains
9 favour La Roca FC, 8 favour Arizona Arsenal, 3 even; average margin +0.6 goals toward La Roca FC.
- -1La Roca FC lost to Arizona Arsenal 2–3
- +2La Roca FC beat Arizona Arsenal 2–0
- 0La Roca FC beat CCV STARS 5–0 → CCV STARS lost to Arizona Arsenal 1–6
- 0La Roca FC beat Avalanche 2–0 → Avalanche lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–2
- +2La Roca FC beat CCV STARS 5–0 → CCV STARS lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–3
- -3La Roca FC drew with CCV STARS 2–2 → CCV STARS lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–3
Full picture: La Roca FC · Arizona Arsenal · Mountain BU13 standings