Result · Saturday, Sep 26, 01:30 PM
Avalanche 5–3 Arizona Arsenal
St. Joseph Catholic High School · Grass Field ↗ · grass · 84401
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 29% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 29% home, 19% draw, 52% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Avalanche | Arizona Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-4 | 4-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W L | W L W W L |
| Biggest win | 5–3 vs Arizona Arsenal | 6–1 vs CCV STARS |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs La Roca FC | 3–5 at Avalanche |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.20 | +0.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.08 | -0.21 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 5–3 (home for Avalanche); Oct 3 0–2 (away for Avalanche)
Common opponents: La Roca FC — Avalanche 0–2; Arizona Arsenal 3–2, 0–2. CCV STARS — Avalanche 3–2, 1–2; Arizona Arsenal 6–1, 3–0.
What's at stake
| Avalanche | Arizona Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 1st |
| Games left | 7 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 63% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 46% |
| Average finish | 4.1 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
20 chains
3 favour Avalanche, 14 favour Arizona Arsenal, 3 even; average margin -2.5 goals toward Avalanche.
- -2Avalanche lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–2
- +2Avalanche beat Arizona Arsenal 5–3
- 0Avalanche lost to La Roca FC 0–2 → La Roca FC beat Arizona Arsenal 2–0
- -2Avalanche beat CCV STARS 3–2 → CCV STARS lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–3
- -3Avalanche lost to La Roca FC 0–2 → La Roca FC lost to Arizona Arsenal 2–3
- -4Avalanche lost to CCV STARS 1–2 → CCV STARS lost to Arizona Arsenal 0–3
Full picture: Avalanche · Arizona Arsenal · Mountain BU13 standings