Result · Saturday, Oct 17, 02:00 PM
NCFC Youth 1–0 Fairfax Virginia Union
WRAL · Field 21 ↗ · 27616
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 56% chance. Pre-match odds were 56% home, 26% draw, 19% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | NCFC Youth | Fairfax Virginia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-0 | 2-0-4 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W | L L W W L |
| Biggest win | 1–0 vs Fairfax Virginia Union | 3–0 at Beach FC |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 vs Arlington Soccer Association |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.37 | -0.36 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | +0.15 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 1–0 (home for NCFC Youth)
Common opponents: Arlington Soccer Association — NCFC Youth 2–1; Fairfax Virginia Union 0–3.
What's at stake
| NCFC Youth | Fairfax Virginia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 9th |
| Games left | 16 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 72% | 2% |
| Chance of 1st | 13% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 9.5 |
How the results connect
6 chains
4 favour NCFC Youth, 1 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 1 even; average margin +1.5 goals toward NCFC Youth.
- +1NCFC Youth beat Fairfax Virginia Union 1–0
- +4NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–1 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0
- 0NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–1 → Arlington Soccer Association drew with Richmond United 1–1 → Richmond United lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 0–1
- +2NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–1 → Arlington Soccer Association drew with Skyline Elite 3–3 → Skyline Elite beat Fairfax Virginia Union 2–1
- -3NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–1 → Arlington Soccer Association lost to Beach FC 0–1 → Beach FC lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 0–3
- +5NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–1 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 2–1 → Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0
Full picture: NCFC Youth · Fairfax Virginia Union · Mid-Atlantic BU16 standings