Result · Saturday, Oct 17, 02:00 PM
NCFC Youth 4–2 Fairfax Virginia Union
WRAL · Field 4 ↗ · 27616
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 83% chance. Pre-match odds were 83% home, 9% draw, 8% away, most likely 4–1.
| Season so far | NCFC Youth | Fairfax Virginia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-0 | 0-0-6 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs Arlington Soccer Association | — |
| Worst loss | — | 3–5 at Skyline Elite |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.08 | -0.88 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.25 | +0.06 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 4–2 (home for NCFC Youth)
Common opponents: Arlington Soccer Association — NCFC Youth 5–1; Fairfax Virginia Union 1–3.
What's at stake
| NCFC Youth | Fairfax Virginia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 13th |
| Games left | 16 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 89% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 15% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.7 | 12.1 |
How the results connect
6 chains
6 favour NCFC Youth, 0 favour Fairfax Virginia Union; average margin +5.8 goals toward NCFC Youth.
- +2NCFC Youth beat Fairfax Virginia Union 4–2
- +6NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 5–1 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–1
- +3NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 5–1 → Arlington Soccer Association lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 1–3 → Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 2–1
- +7NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 5–1 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Beach FC 2–0 → Beach FC beat Fairfax Virginia Union 2–1
- +8NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 5–1 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 4–1 → Richmond United beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–2
- +9NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 5–1 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Skyline Elite 3–0 → Skyline Elite beat Fairfax Virginia Union 5–3
Full picture: NCFC Youth · Fairfax Virginia Union · Mid-Atlantic BU15 standings