Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 11:00 AM
Beach FC 2–2 Fairfax Virginia Union
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 20% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 51% home, 20% draw, 29% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Beach FC | Fairfax Virginia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-3-3 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.13 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W D D D L | W L D L L |
| Biggest win | 4–2 vs VDA | 3–2 at Wilmington Hammerheads |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs Richmond United | 0–2 at Skyline Elite |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.20 | -0.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.03 | +0.14 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 2–2 (home for Beach FC)
Common opponents: Skyline Elite — Beach FC 2–3; Fairfax Virginia Union 0–2. Richmond United — Beach FC 1–4; Fairfax Virginia Union 1–3. Arlington Soccer Association — Beach FC 1–1; Fairfax Virginia Union 0–1.
What's at stake
| Beach FC | Fairfax Virginia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 8th | 10th |
| Games left | 16 | 18 |
| Chance of top 4 | 2% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 7.5 | 9.1 |
How the results connect
25 chains
12 favour Beach FC, 11 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 2 even; average margin +0.5 goals toward Beach FC.
- 0Beach FC drew with Fairfax Virginia Union 2–2
- +1Beach FC drew with Arlington Soccer Association 1–1 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Fairfax Virginia Union 1–0
- -1Beach FC lost to Richmond United 1–4 → Richmond United beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–1
- +1Beach FC lost to Skyline Elite 2–3 → Skyline Elite beat Fairfax Virginia Union 2–0
- 0Beach FC lost to Skyline Elite 2–3 → Skyline Elite drew with NCFC Youth 1–1 → NCFC Youth beat Fairfax Virginia Union 2–1
- -1Beach FC beat NC Fusion 4–3 → NC Fusion lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 0–1 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 2–3
Full picture: Beach FC · Fairfax Virginia Union · Mid-Atlantic BU14 standings